RCD Mallorca vs RC Celta — LaLiga (MD2), Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma).
Expect a low-event script with long 0–0 phases, set-piece weight for Mallorca and Celta’s vertical transitions. Baseline 0–1; value on Under 2.5, BTTS No, and Celta X2.
🇪🇸 RCD Mallorca vs RC Celta 🇪🇸 — LaLiga (MD2)
⭐ LaLiga
📅 23 Aug 2025
🧭 Match Overview
Low-event lean: Mallorca’s compact block and set-piece volume vs Celta’s vertical transitions. Expect long 0–0 phases, narrow scorelines and outsized value on restarts and second balls.
📈 Current Form & Context
Mallorca
- Compact mid/low block; high set-piece share at home.
- Chance creation skewed to wide deliveries; tempo control over risk.
Celta
- Vertical outlets through half-spaces; quick counters after regain.
- Defensive air slightly weakened on crosses/set-plays; manage fouls around box.
⚡ Celta transitions
🎯 Set-piece emphasis
🩺 Squads & Absences
Mallorca — expected shape
4-4-2/4-2-3-1; wide progressions, aerial targets on crosses and corners.
Celta — expected shape
4-3-3/4-2-3-1; quick verticality, counter-press triggers, protect set-play zones.
♟️ Tactical Breakdown
RCD Mallorca
Deep/medium block, wide deliveries and second-ball hunts; risk lies in exposed channels on rare high line pushes.
RC Celta
Patience without the ball, sudden vertical breaks and restart value; must defend aerials and cut off crossing lanes.
🧮 iStatica Probability Model (90’)
Under 2.5 — 57% | Over 2.5 — 43%
BTTS — No 53%
Model tuned for venue, tempo profile and squad availability; expect narrow margins and extended stalemates.
🎯 iStatica Forecast & Bets
Baseline scoreline: 0–1 (alt: 0–0 if the deadlock holds deep).
Model 57% → fair ~1.75 💰
Stake guide: 0.7–0.8u Under 2.5 (≥1.80); 0.5–0.6u BTTS No (≥1.95); light cover on X2 if price holds. Bet responsibly. 🔒
💹 Market Snapshot — 1X2 & Totals
- 1X2: Mallorca ~3.00–3.20 | Draw ~3.10–3.30 | Celta ~2.45–2.55
- Total 2.5: Under ~1.65–1.80 | Over ~2.05–2.35
Shop best prices and track closing for CLV evaluation. 📎
