Sassuolo vs Napoli — Serie A. Tempo and transition game with Napoli’s quality edge in the final third. Baseline 1–2; value on Napoli -0.5, Over 2.5, and BTTS Yes.
🇮🇹 Sassuolo vs Napoli — Serie A
🏟️ Mapei Stadium⭐ Serie A📅 Today
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🧭 Match Overview
Napoli’s final-third quality vs Sassuolo’s transitions and wide deliveries. Defensive volatility pushes totals upward.
📈 Current Form & Context
- Sassuolo: shaky box defending; rely on wide shots/crosses.
- Napoli: away shot volume strong; stable chance creation centrally.
♟️ Tactical View
- Sassuolo 4-2-3-1 with wide wingers.
- Napoli 4-3-3/3-2-5, isolation and cut-backs; set-play threat.
🧮 Probability Model (90’)
Sassuolo (W)
21%
Draw
25%
Napoli (W)
54%
Totals: Over 2.5 — 62%; BTTS Yes — 57%. Baseline: 1–2.
🎯 Picks / Targets
🔵 Napoli -0.5
target ≥1.90Quality edge
🔥 Over 2.5
target ≥1.68–1.72Model 62% → fair ~1.61
🤝 BTTS — Yes
target ≥1.80Defensive volatility
💹 Market Snapshot
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